Stock Market Update for 2/2/2012

Stocks Showing A Lack Of Direction In Early Trading

With traders seemingly reluctant to make any significant moves ahead of tomorrow’s monthly jobs report, stocks are turning in a lackluster performance in early trading on Thursday. The major averages have turned mixed on the day after ending the previous session firmly in positive territory.

The major averages currently remain stuck on opposite sides of the unchanged line, with the Nasdaq up 4.48 points or 0.2 percent at 2,852.75, while the Dow is down 14.38 points or 0.1 percent at 12,702.08 and the S&P 500 is down 0.14 points or less than a tenth of a percent at 1,323.95.

Upbeat employment data contributed to some initial strength on Wall Street, with a report from the Labor Department showing a bigger than expected drop in initial jobless claims in the week ended January 28th.

The report showed that jobless claims dipped to 367,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 379,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to edge down to 370,000 from the 377,000 originally reported for the previous week.

Buying interest waned not long after the open, however, as traders looked ahead to the release of the Labor Department’s more comprehensive report on the employment situation on Friday.

Traders are also waiting on remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who is due to testify before the House Budget Committee.

While most of the major sectors are showing only modest moves, notable strength is visible among telecom stocks. Qualcomm (QCOM) is posting a standout gain after reporting better than expected first quarter results and providing upbeat guidance.

On the other hand, health insurance and healthcare provider stocks have come under pressure in early trading, with the Morgan Stanley Healthcare Payor Index and the Morgan Stanley Healthcare Provider Index both down by 1.1 percent.

Market Update: EUR/USD Down Ahead of EU Summit

The EUR/USD and European stock futures were off ahead of Europe’s first Summit of 2012 today in Brussels, and binary options traders are getting ready to place their positions.

While surprises could be in the works as the trading day unfolds (keep an eye out for our Trade Alerts), here’s two really simple ideas to trade the Summit:

  • Forex Binary Options
    If you believe the EUR/USD will continue to fall below its recent peak of 1.32, you would buy PUT options on the pair. At the moment, negative sentiment in the market is pulling the pair down.
  • Gold Binary Options.
    If you believe Gold prices will rise on the Summit news, you would buy CALL options on the commodity. Gold tends to rally during periods of uncertainty. Gold is trading at 1,727 at the moment, having climbed nearly 100 points over the last few days.

 

To better understand how easy it is to trade on the news with binary options, click here.

Market Update: Trading the US GDP

The US GDP report, released quarterly, is considered one of the most important indicators of economic activity, and a figure better than expectations later today will be considered bullish for the dollar.

Most of our traders will be looking at the report for its impact on the EUR/USD. Here’s the dynamics of the trade opportunity, just prior to and after its release at 1:30pm GMT:

  • The last quarter of 2011 saw GDP increase by 2.5%, and the markets are predicting an even better number for Q4, with an increase of 3.0%.
  • A strong reading will boost confidence, and if the reading is stronger than this month’s prediction, the Euro/Usd could fall in value as investors move back into the US economy.
  • With a forex binary option, if you believe the Eur/Usd is declining in value you would buy a PUT option.
  • Alternatively if you are trading a standard forex trade, you could take a combination long forex position combined with a PUT binary option, as shown in the chart above.

In this case if you believe the market may reverse you could secure your investment in the event of a failed breakout.

Trade Alert for US GDP Quarterly Estimate – 1:30pm GMT

The expectations are for 3.0% annualized growth for the quarter, an uptick from previous quarter results of 2.5% and solid sign of renewed growth. Check the results shortly after the release from our economic calendar and look for surprise developments.

Why is it important?
Released quarterly by the US government, it’s the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy’s health. It’s considered a high impact report for traders to watch, and actual results better than forecast are positive for the currency.

How to Make Money with This Trade

Due to the short term nature of trading a news item, such as the GDP, we recommend using hourly binary options to maximize your profit potential.  to get started with binary options today, click the Global Option ad below:

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Hedging your Bets with Financial Spread Betting

It may seem surprising, but spread betting is sometimes done to lower risks rather than take them on. This is called hedging. Hedging your bets with financial spread betting can be done any time you want to minimize potential losses from other financial activity.

You will likely want to hedge against losses if you own stock, mutual fund shares, commodities, foreign currency or other valuables known to fluctuate in price. Usually, if you expect the value of these instruments to drop, you would have to sell in order to stop your losses. If you do that, however, you may find that restoring your position requires buying the instruments back at a higher price. You’ll also incur brokerage fees for both selling and buying. Spread betting isn’t just for professional traders and major investors. Regular people can benefit greatly from successful spread bets. Someone going overseas on vacation, for example, can hedge against adverse changes to exchange rates between the pound and the currency of the destination country.

Read the rest of this article:  Financial Spread Betting

Special Feature on Gold Binary Options

Market Update: ECB President Talks and Special Feature on Gold Binaries

Now is the time to take advantage of the rising prices of Gold, if you haven’t already. Gold futures (February contracts) have been in a rising trend line since end of last week surprise announcement by Standard & Poor’s to downgrade major European economies, including France.

A break above 1643 would be very significant and would push prices closer to 1700 again. One of the best ways to take advantage of the momentum in the bullish gold market is to buy short term, one-hour Gold Binary Options.

Why Binary Gold Options?

  • Gold futures are a strongly directional market, and binary options are perfect for short term directional trading
  • Gold is a contrary asset, meaning when currencies fall gold tends to rise
  • The market has been extremely nervous about the fate of the Euro, and today’s meeting in Europe should create some volatility.
  • Smart traders are looking at the Euro/Gold correlation and trading on the bad news. Gold is a safe haven asset.
  • Binary Options need only 1 Pip in the right direction, with a simple determination of Up or Down, as opposed to more complicated technical strategies.

Market Events:

**Trade Alert for ECB President’s Discussions on the Euro**ECB President Mario Draghi is testifying before the European Parliament’s Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee, in Strasbourg today. The forum is a good place for market watchers to take a short view of the Euro. If his comments are particularly bullish expect to see a rebound on the Eur/Usd pair. On the other hand trading Gold binary options can be a perfect complement to a bearish outlook.Why is it important?The ECB President is head of the ECB – and controls short-term interest rates for loans to European banks. That means that if interest rates go down more lending will happen, and the Euro will gain value against other currencies.

To start trading gold binary options today, we recommend Global Option as the best broker.  Click the ad below to get started trading with Global Option.

 
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Trading Binary Options involves risk and may not be suitable for everyone. Only speculate with money you can afford to lose.

A Guide to Spread Betting

Trading on the forex markets can be a fun and exciting prospect, and the fact that there are so many ways to trade means that trading is kept fresh and exciting. One of them types of bids that traders can make is called spread betting. This is a popular form of bidding that allows traders to trade on the financial markets without ever having to actually take ownership. Spread betting relies on the trader’s speculation on the markets including shares, indices, commodities and currencies. One of the reasons traders choose to open a spread betting account is because it is exempt from capital gains tax, so investors can trade tax free.

To read the rest of the article, click the following link:  Spread Betting Guide

Market and Trading Outlook for 1/3/2012

Market Outlook – 3 Jan 2012 – Small Risk Rally for Early 2012

Despite ongoing concerns with the euro debt crisis and the semi-failed Italian debt auction, positive manufacturing data in Asia has boosted risk appetite to some extent, keeping oil prices above $100 per barrel.

We feature the AUD/USD pair today, noting favorable technical support to a stable economic picture. The pair is trading just above 1.0200 to the US dollar with some momentum and a few key reports to keep an eye on today. For detailed analysis on how to trade the pair successfully, contact your account manager today.

Focus on Various Markets

  • The US Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Manager’s Index) is due out today at 3:00pm GMT, a leading indicator of US economic health. The report tends to be high impact as it is issued early in the month.
  • A reading of 53.3 is expected for the index, slightly above a reading of 52.7 for the last month. A reading which is higher than expected would be bullish for the US dollar.
  • Oil prices spiked once again on tensions with Iran and stronger than expected Chinese manufacturing data. Crude oil on the New York exchange rose nearly 1.7% in trading to reach 100.5 per barrel.
  • The pound sterling rallied along with other riskier assets against the USD before the close of the 2011, as US data continued to show improved market conditions. The GBP/USD pair pushed through 1.5560 before closing at 1.5540 at the end of last week. The pair has consolidated around 1.5500 where it remains stable for the time being.
  • We’ve got the Manufacturing PMI for the UK economy due out today, where the report is expected to remain below 50 at 47.4.
  • Commodity prices for the AUD economy are due out today, providing an indication of inflation for the Aussie economy. While some markets in Asia are closed, the ASX is up and running.
  • The AIG manufacturing index is also due out today. While both reports could have moderate influence on traders the market will be looking at risk sentiment related to US reports later on in the day.
  • The AUD rallied in trading during the last week of 2011 against the EUR and USD, breaking above 1.020 and climbing towards 1.030. Higher volume was also noted on the pair as traders looked for profit in higher risk assets (see chart).
  • Expect a range of 1.0180 – 1.0260 for the AUD dollar.

 

 

Prechter: “The Trend Is Exhausted”

Robert Prechter explains what’s the real problem with today’s market
November 28, 2011

By Elliott Wave International

What is the real problem with today’s market? Watch this excerpt from Robert Prechter’s special, video issue of the August 2011 Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter shows you how the buildup of dollar-denominated debt has brought us to what he calls a critical market juncture.

Get even more information about current market trends and how to prepare for what’s ahead with our new 14-page investing report. See details below.


 

The Most Important Investment Report You’ll Read for 2012

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They have just released The Most Important Investment Report You’ll Read for 2012, a free report to help you navigate the markets and prepare for what’s ahead. You’ll get hard facts, 25 eye-opening charts and 14 pages of straightforward commentary that will put the volatile market action of the past months into perspective within the “big picture” to help you position for the years to come.

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This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Prechter: “The Trend Is Exhausted”. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

What Are the BEST Technical Indicators for Successful Trading?

8 technical analysis tools that give any trader an edge
November 14, 2011

By Elliott Wave International

You may have seen a TV ad where “traders” describe their strategies, and one says, “I trade on fundamentals.” That sounds very reassuring — except that, on any given day, “fundamentals” are a mixed bag:

  • You might have a good U.S. employment report…but bad news from Europe
  • A positive Fed statement…but a negative housing number
  • Strong earnings…but slowing consumer spending

And so on. Which “fundamental” factor trumps the other? Which one carries more weight in your forecast? Your guess is as good (or bad) as anybody’s.

Your alternative is technical analysis, which forecasts the markets’ short- and long-term moves based on objective metrics, not guesses.

Here at EWI, we’ve always strived to help our readers learn to think for themselves. So we’ve put together for you a free 8-lesson report, “Best Technical Indicators for Successful Trading” that teaches you how to use these technical tools:

  1. The Personality of Elliott Waves
  2. Head and Shoulders Pattern
  3. Fibonacci Retracements
  4. Advance-Decline Line
  5. Sentiment
  6. Volume
  7. Trendlines
  8. Momentum Analysis Using MACD

Here’s a small preview of this free 8-lesson report.

Trendlines

A trendline represents the psychology of the market; specifically, the psychology between the bulls and the bears. If the trendline slopes upward, the bulls are in control. If the trendline slopes downward, the bears are in control.

Moreover, the actual angle or slope of a trendline can determine whether or not the market is extremely optimistic, as it was in the upwards sloping line in Figure 1-1 or extremely pessimistic, as it was in the downwards sloping line in the same figure.

Now we’re on to the fun part — drawing trendlines. You can do this several different ways…


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In this free report, you will learn some of the most effective tools of the trade from analysts at Elliott Wave International, the world’s largest technical analysis firm.

Find out which technical indicators are best for analyzing chart patterns, which are best for anticipating price action, even which are best for spotting high-confidence trade setups — plus how they all complement Elliott wave analysis.

Download your “Best Technical Indicators” report now >>

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline What Are the BEST Technical Indicators for Successful Trading?. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

Stock Market Update for 11/10/2011

While stocks moved sharply higher at the start of trading on Thursday, buying interest waned not long after the open. The major averages have subsequently pulled back well off their highs for the young session.

Currently, the major averages remain in positive territory, although the Nasdaq is only just above the unchanged line. The Nasdaq is up 2.39 points or 0.1 percent at 2,624.04, while the Dow is up 85.64 points or 0.7 percent at 11,866.58 and the S&P 500 is up 7.84 points or 0.6 percent at 1,236.94.

The initial strength on Wall Street was partly due to easing concerns about the financial situation in Europe, with a successful bond auction in Italy pulling the yield on Italy’s benchmark 10-year bond back below 7 percent.

News that former European Central Bank Vice President Lucas Papademos has been selected as Greece’s new prime minister also generated some positive sentiment, easing some of the recent uncertainty.

Upbeat U.S. economic data also contributed to the early strength, with the Labor Department releasing a report showing an unexpected drop in initial jobless claims in the week ended November 5th.

The report showed that jobless claims fell to 390,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 400,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to increase to 400,000 from the 397,000 originally reported for the previous week.

A separate report from the Commerce Department showed that the U.S. trade deficit unexpectedly narrowed in September, as the value of exports increased at a much faster rate than the value of imports.

Nonetheless, stocks were unable to sustain their initial upward move, as traders continued to express concerns about the outlook for the global economy.

Despite the subsequent pullback by the broader markets, networking stocks are seeing continued strength in early trading, resulting in a 1.2 percent gain by the NYSE Arca Networking Index. Cisco Systems (CSCO) is leading the sector higher after reporting better than expected first quarter results.

Banking, railroad, and natural gas stocks are also seeing early strength, while notable weakness has emerged among airline and gold stocks.

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region saw considerable weakness on Thursday following the overnight sell-off on Wall Street. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index tumbled by 2.9 percent, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index plummeted by 5.3 percent.

Meanwhile, the major European markets are turning in a mixed performance on the day. While the French CAC 40 Index is down by 0.2 percent, the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index is up by 0.1 percent and the German DAX Index is up by 0.7 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries are giving back some ground after moving sharply higher in the previous session. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is up by 8.8 basis points at 2.043 percent.